What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 21, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Kari Lake

Closes Jan 21, 2029 (858d) 24h volume 836 Open interest 113.6K Event Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

implied YES probability

Last 36 days · High 10% · Low 0% · 7d +33.3pp · 30d -65.2pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 2.2¢

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.