What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 04, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Abdul El-Sayed

Closes Aug 04, 2027 (365d) 24h volume 156 Open interest 6.2K Event Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place

implied YES probability

Last 44 days · High 42% · Low 1% · 7d -92.1pp · 30d -80.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.