What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 04, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Haley Stevens

Closes Aug 04, 2027 (365d) 24h volume 13 Open interest 12.9K Event Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place

98%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 57 days · High 98% · Low 31% · 7d +59.0pp · 30d +16.9pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.