What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Cuts

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (152d) 24h volume 3.8K Open interest 438.1K Event Fed rate cut before 2027?

16%

implied YES probability

-0.9pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 51% · Low 14% · 7d -3.9pp · 30d -22.5pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 17.4¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.