What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Cuts

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 16.5K Open interest 193.6K Event Fed rate cut before 2027?

30%

implied YES probability

Last 90 days · High 78% · Low 19% · 7d +21.3pp · 30d -4.5pp

Spread 2.6¢ · Mid 20.4¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.