What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 80

chance of YES98%

Price range (120d)

98–99%

24h volume

4.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

79.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

98¢ / 99¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 98.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Above 55100%13.0K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 1, 4:53 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,000	$2K
Oct 1, 4:40 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,584	$2K
Oct 1, 10:56 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,416	$1K
Oct 1, 10:56 AM ET	YES	99¢	7,500	$7K
Sep 29, 3:37 AM ET	YES	99¢	3,000	$3K
Sep 28, 10:02 PM ET	YES	99¢	4,500	$4K
Sep 28, 10:01 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,296	$3K
Sep 28, 7:23 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,050	$1K
Sep 28, 5:34 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,017	$1K
Sep 28, 5:34 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,017	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.