What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 15%, implying a 15% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 5000

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 62 Open interest 17.8K Event How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?

15%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 63 days · High 25% · Low 8% · 7d -18.8pp · 30d -13.3pp

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.