What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 21, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before his term ends

Closes Jan 21, 2029 (949d) 24h volume 4.3K Open interest 68.4K Event Will Trump resign during his term?

24%

implied YES probability

Last 89 days · High 27% · Low 16% · 7d +26.3pp · 30d +9.1pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.