What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 19%, implying a 19% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Peace in the Middle East

Closes Aug 03, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 11.7K Open interest 16.6K Event What will Trump say this week?

19%

implied YES probability

+13.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 41% · Low 10%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.