What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome

Closes Aug 03, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 9.4K Open interest 13.8K Event What will Trump say this week?

6%

implied YES probability

-2.5pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 81% · Low 11%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.