kalshi
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Will Trump say "Stupid Question" before Aug 3, 2026?
Stupid Question
100%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 5 days ·
High 99% ·
Low 99%
Other outcomes in this event
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AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing a 100% chance that Trump will say "Stupid Question" before August 3, 2026. This assessment is based on recent events and statements from Trump, which have led to speculation about his potential use of the phrase in future interactions. The current price reflects a consensus among market participants that this event is likely to occur. Any new information or developments that suggest Trump's behavior has changed or that he is less likely to use the phrase would be expected to drive the YES price down, while increased speculation or confirmation of his continued usage would push the price up.
Generated Jul 28, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99.0¢ | 1042092 | |||
| 97.0¢ | 5 | |||
| 96.0¢ | 467 | |||
| 94.0¢ | 25 | |||
| 92.0¢ | 20 |
Spread 0.0¢ · Mid 0.0¢
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