What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 31%, implying a 31% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

SpaceX / SPCX

chance of YES31% -1.0pp in 24h

Price range (32h)

31–62%

24h volume

100

$1 contracts

Open interest

236

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 32h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

eBay95%3.2K