What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 4%

Closes Sep 19, 2026 (37d) 24h volume 51 Open interest 867 Event Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q2

40%

implied YES probability

+37.0pp 24h

Last 33 days · High 69% · Low 37% · 7d -37.3pp · 30d -37.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.