What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 20, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 13.25M

Closes Sep 20, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 1.5K Open interest 2.6K Event Drake: Highest daily view count in September 2026

50%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 98% · Low 73%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.