What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 86%, implying a 86% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 14.5M

Closes Oct 02, 2026 (11d) 24h volume 736 Open interest 2.1K Event Drake: Highest daily view count in September 2026

86%

implied YES probability

+64.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 62% · Low 4% · 7d +44.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.