polymarket Business

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Elon Musk
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $239 Open interest $25.7K Event Richest person on December 31, 2026?
94%
implied YES probability
+0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 88 days · High 94% · Low 88% · 7d +0.5pp · 30d +3.9pp
94%88%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Other outcomes in this event

Warren Buffett
1% YES
24h vol —
Jensen Huang
1% YES
24h vol —
Bernard Arnault
1% YES
24h vol $2
Sergey Brin
1% YES
24h vol —
Larry Page
0% YES
24h vol —
Jeff Bezos
0% YES
24h vol $18
Larry Ellison
0% YES
24h vol —
Steve Ballmer
0% YES
24h vol —

Recent news mentioning this market

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.