polymarket
Business
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Elon Musk
96%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 98% ·
Low 93%
· 7d -0.2pp
· 30d -1.2pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
-
Elon Musk Promised "Over a Million Robotaxis" by 2020. None Materialized, and a Dedicated Robotaxi Fleet Isn't Expected Until at Least 2027. Here's What That Track Record Means for Tesla's Valuation.
Motley Fool · 2h ago
-
SpaceX or Tesla: Which Elon Musk Stock Should Investors Buy?
Motley Fool · 12h ago
-
Elon Musk Reveals Details On The New Tesla Roadster; Shares Slip
IBD · 14h ago
Related stocks
Trade on Polymarket
Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.