polymarket
Politics
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
September 30
44%
implied YES probability
+3.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 6 days ·
High 87% ·
Low 46%
How this market resolves
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Pakistan Mulls Options for Crude Ship Stuck Near Saudi Pipeline
Bloomberg Politics · 44 min ago
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Houthi Threat Grows as Saudi Pipeline Shutdown Hits Oil
Bloomberg Markets · 1h ago
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Wolf: Saudi Pipeline Recovery Not a Quick Fix
Bloomberg Markets · 2h ago
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Saudi offers more crude via Oman loading after pipeline attacks, sources say
Reuters · 3h ago
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Oil falls as U.S. crude inventories reportedly rise, traders weigh Saudi pipeline closure
CNBC Top News · 4h ago
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