polymarket Technology

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $130 Open interest $22.1K Event OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
13%
implied YES probability
+0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 33% · Low 10% · 7d +4.0pp · 30d +4.0pp
33%10%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.