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Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $385 Open interest $22.8K Event Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
97%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 97% · Low 87% · 7d +0.3pp · 30d +1.6pp
97%87%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.