What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Jake Merrick

Closes Jun 16, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $137 Open interest $26.6K Event Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 4% · Low 0% · 7d -68.3pp · 30d -35.0pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.