What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 95%, implying a 95% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?

Alexander Vindman

Closes Aug 18, 2026 (61d) 24h volume $38 Open interest $4.9K Event Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

95%

implied YES probability

-0.7pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 96% · Low 70% · 7d +5.6pp · 30d +3.8pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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