polymarket
Politics
Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?
Republican Party
92%
implied YES probability
-2.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 42 days ·
High 94% ·
Low 90%
· 7d +1.1pp
· 30d +4.5pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Recent news mentioning this market
-
Modi’s Party Loses Key By-Election Seat in Wake of Protests
Bloomberg Politics · 2h ago
-
Kay Granger, first Republican woman to lead House Appropriations Committee, dies at 83
Investing.com · 13h ago
-
GOP Senator Calls on Ex-Son-in-Law to Resign House Seat
Bloomberg Politics · 1d ago
Trade on Polymarket
Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.