OUTFRONT Media Inc.(OUT)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
Snapshot
$31.31
- 52-Week Range
- $15.45 – $34.96
- YTD
- +32.05%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 5.83
- Straddle Price
- $2.83
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 1.11
- Market Cap
- $5.4B
Fair Value
-43.6% vs price
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.53% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.00 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 10.03% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 8.62% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +18.9pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 1.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -6.6% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.3B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 27.7% |
| Book / Price | 12.6% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 50.6% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 13.6% |
| Debt / Equity | 3.90 |
| Quality Score | 3/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | +12.7% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $30.83 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $31.90 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 38.0% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $2.5B |
| Market Cap | $5B |
Peers used for multiples: ABCB, AX, ENVA, EPRT, HASI, RHP, SNEX, WELL
Blended Fair Value
$17.69
Current Price
$31.34
Deviation
-43.6%
Forward-Return Rank
SHORT
gated
?
| Horizon | Expected α | z Pred | Blended z | Rank % | Active? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | -5.0% | -0.64 | -1.00 | 13.6% | — |
| 42d | -9.0% | -1.07 | -1.00 | 13.6% | — |
| 63d | -11.0% | -1.15 | -1.00 | 13.6% | — |
Expected α = forward-return point estimate vs SPY (e.g., +7.5% means the predictor expects this stock to outperform SPY by 7.5% over that horizon).
For SHORT direction the model uses a different ranking metric (conviction-weighted deviation, not the LGBM prediction); Expected α is shown for reference.
⚠ flags rows where Expected α disagrees with the FV direction — two independent signals are in conflict; conviction is low even if rank looks extreme.
Forward-Return Rank. A proprietary ensemble of a machine-learning forward-return model and a conviction-weighted fundamental score, ranked cross-sectionally each day across the S&P 500 (and broader universes on the screener). Each stock is scored at three horizons (21/42/63 trading days). "Active" = top/bottom 5% AND all risk filters pass. Backtested mean alpha vs SPY on active picks: 21d LONG +13.4%, 63d +34.9% (S&P 500, walk-forward). Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Value vs momentum conflict ⚠. The "FV direction" (long/short) comes from the fundamentals-based engine — price vs intrinsic value. The "Expected α" comes from a separate machine-learning predictor trained on ~12 features (sector, options-implied move, beta, institutional flow, etc.). Sometimes the two disagree: a stock is overvalued by fundamentals but the predictor expects it to keep outperforming (sector or momentum tailwinds). When all 3 horizons disagree, treat the direction signal as low-conviction — neither model is strongly recommending a position.
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $-0.38 | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $6.72 | 38% | |
| Peer P/E | $25.47 | 22% | median 24.0× · 8 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $20.15 | 22% | median 11.7× · 7 peers |
| Peer P/B | $9.78 | 4% | median 2.5× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | $33.97 | 14% | median 3.1× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $30.83 | 0% | stability 0% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
As of 2026-06-12 · updated 2026-06-12 20:59:55.687000
Info
- Industry (SIC)
- REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (6798)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $5.4B
Outfront Media Inc is a real estate investment trust involved in the ownership of advertising space on its portfolio of billboards and transit displays. The company has two reportable operating segments: Billboard and Transit. It derives maximum revenue from Billboard Segment. The company geographically operates in United States and Canada, of which United States derive maximum revenue.
Price History
Seasonality
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +3.13% | 12 |
| Feb | +1.47% | 12 |
| Mar | -3.87% | 12 |
| Apr | +2.85% | 12 |
| May | -3.63% | 12 |
| Jun | -0.64% | 12 |
| Jul | +3.37% | 11 |
| Aug | -1.77% | 11 |
| Sep | -1.00% | 11 |
| Oct | -2.10% | 11 |
| Nov | +11.32% | 12 |
| Dec | -0.37% | 12 |
Technical Indicators
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
Trend Indicators
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
Volume & Volatility
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $31.83
SMA 50: $30.93
SMA 200: $24.71
Current: $31.34
EMA 12: $31.24
EMA 26: $31.36
MACD: -0.1247 | Signal: -0.2403
BULLISH
ADX (14): 22.18
WEAK TREND
+DI: 23.02
−DI: 20.65
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 49.94
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 16.60
Stoch %D: 9.95
Williams %R: -68.33
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $33.73
BB Lower: $29.92
NEUTRAL
OBV: 79,783,899
Vol SMA 20: 1,788,888
Vol ROC: -5.80%
ATR: $0.88
True Range: $0.93
HV 20: 24.9%
HV 30: 32.1%
HV 60: 29.6%
Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated: 2026-06-12T21:15:22.677000
Date Range: 2024-06-14T00:00:00 – 2026-06-12T00:00:00
AI Analysis
Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.
Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.
News
Earnings History
8 of 8 under expected move
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-06 | Pre-Market | 11.75% | 2.70% | 0.23x | Within |
| 2024-11-12 | Pre-Market | 4.71% | 1.55% | 0.33x | Within |
| 2025-02-25 | After-Close | 21.33% | 0.65% | 0.03x | Within |
| 2025-05-08 | After-Close | 7.46% | 3.11% | 0.42x | Within |
| 2025-08-05 | Pre-Market | 7.24% | 1.89% | 0.26x | Within |
| 2025-11-06 | Pre-Market | 11.80% | 0.17% | 0.01x | Within |
| 2026-02-25 | Pre-Market | 10.30% | 1.24% | 0.12x | Within |
| 2026-05-07 | After-Close | 6.84% | 1.03% | 0.15x | Within |
Options Activity
- IV Rank (30D)
- 5.83
- IV Rank (7D)
- 100
- Avg IV
- 48.1%
- Straddle (30D)
- $2.83
- Straddle (7D)
- $2.23
- P/C Volume
- 1.11
Spread Scanner GPU
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)
RR25 and BF25 from the live options chain. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Volatility Surface
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.86
- Correlation (SPY)
- 32.9%
- R²
- 0.11
- Ann. Volatility
- 32.4%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.3%
Moderate volatility - stock generally follows market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-03-31
? 13F Guide
Diluted shares outstanding: 172,650,000 (as of 2026-03-31)
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
5 filers$879.80K notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $352.45K | 40.06% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | PEAK6 LLC | $209.35K | 23.80% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $204.05K | 23.19% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $87.45K | 9.94% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | Twin Tree Management, LP | $26.50K | 3.01% | 2026-03-31 |
4 filers$2.35M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dockside LLC | $1.56M | 66.57% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $418.70K | 17.85% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $339.20K | 14.46% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $26.50K | 1.13% | 2026-03-31 |
Insider Activity
Latest: 2026-06-11
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | James Michael Norton | EVP, CRO, Enterprise | Buy (P) | +4,130 | $30.81 | $127.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-05 | Michael J Dominguez | Director | Mixed | +8,967 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-04 | Mark D Carleton | Director | Grant (A) | +5,918 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-04 | Angela Courtin | Director | Mixed | +8,967 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-04 | MICHAEL G. BARRETT | Director | Grant (A) | +5,918 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-04 | Manuel A. Diaz | Director | Mixed | +8,967 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-04 | Peter Mathes | Director | Mixed | +8,967 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-04 | Nicolle Deanna Pangis | Director | Grant (A) | +5,918 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-04 | Susan Tolson | Director | Mixed | +8,967 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-26 | Peter Mathes | Director | Sell (S) | −10,000 | $33.54 | -$335.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-02 | MATTHEW SIEGEL | EVP, CFO | Sell (S) | −50,000 | $25.79 | -$1.29M | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-23 | Manuel A. Diaz | Director | Sell (S) | −11,271 | $26.93 | -$303.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-24 | James Michael Norton | EVP, CRO, Enterprise | Grant (A) | +16,819 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-02-24 | Falk Laurie Rosenfield | EVP, Chief People Officer | Grant (A) | +7,645 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-02-24 | MATTHEW SIEGEL | EVP, CFO | Mixed | +70,291 | $26.16 | -$1.62M | EDGAR |
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
Insider Holdings
26 insiders · @ $31.34
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PEP VIII-A SPV, L.P. | 10%+ Owner | 17,388,024 | $544.94M | $0 | 1 | 2022-03-03 |
| 2 | PEP VIII GP LLC | 10%+ Owner | 8,913,813 | $279.36M | -$910.22M | 1 | 2025-09-05 |
| 3 | PEP VIII International Ltd. | 10%+ Owner | 8,913,813 | $279.36M | -$1.52B | 1 | 2025-09-05 |
| 4 | Jeremy J. Male | Chairman & CEO | 795,261 | $24.92M | -$4.59M | 28 | 2024-02-22 |
| 5 | Andrew Sriubas | Chief Commercial Officer | 420,121 | $13.17M | $125.3K | 26 | 2024-02-22 |
| 6 | MATTHEW SIEGEL | EVP, CFO | 289,925 | $9.09M | -$1.29M | 14 | 2026-04-02 |
| 7 | Donald R Shassian | EVP, Chief Financial Officer | 279,989 | $8.77M | $109.5K | 19 | 2018-06-05 |
| 8 | Clive A. Punter | EVP and Chief Revenue Officer | 239,070 | $7.49M | $100.1K | 23 | 2025-02-24 |
| 9 | Jodi Senese | EVP & Chief Marketing Officer | 149,887 | $4.70M | $0 | 31 | 2025-02-24 |
| 10 | Nicolas Brien | CEO | 147,845 | $4.63M | $100.0K | 21 | 2026-02-24 |
| 11 | Nancy Tostanoski | EVP,Chief Human Resources Off. | 115,668 | $3.63M | $0 | 23 | 2025-02-24 |
| 12 | Richard H. Sauer | EVP, General Counsel | 91,947 | $2.88M | -$2.01M | 38 | 2026-02-24 |
| 13 | Susan Tolson | Director | 77,847 | $2.44M | $0 | 18 | 2026-06-04 |
| 14 | Angela Courtin | Director | 76,282 | $2.39M | $0 | 12 | 2026-06-04 |
| 15 | JOSEPH H WENDER | Director | 69,996 | $2.19M | $0 | 17 | 2025-06-05 |
| 16 | Peter Mathes | Director | 50,365 | $1.58M | -$938.0K | 23 | 2026-06-04 |
| 17 | Michael J Dominguez | Director | 50,166 | $1.57M | $0 | 8 | 2026-06-05 |
| 18 | Manuel A. Diaz | Director | 45,211 | $1.42M | -$829.5K | 21 | 2026-06-04 |
| 19 | PATRICK MARTIN | SVP, Controller, CAO | 39,498 | $1.24M | -$116.1K | 9 | 2026-02-24 |
| 20 | WILLIAM M APFELBAUM | Director | 35,921 | $1.13M | $0 | 3 | 2016-06-09 |
| 21 | George Wood | SVP, Controller | 32,220 | $1.01M | $0 | 26 | 2020-10-05 |
| 22 | Mark Emilio Bonanni | EVP, CRO, Commercial | 14,071 | $441.0K | -$80.0K | 3 | 2026-02-24 |
| 23 | Providence Equity GP VIII (Scotland) L.P. | 10%+ Owner | 11,273 | $353.3K | $0 | 2 | 2022-06-14 |
| 24 | Providence Equity GP VIII L.P. | 10%+ Owner | 6,366 | $199.5K | $0 | 1 | 2022-03-03 |
| 25 | Providence Equity Partners VIII (Scotland) L.P. | 10%+ Owner | 6,366 | $199.5K | $0 | 1 | 2021-06-10 |
| 26 | James Michael Norton | EVP, CRO, Enterprise | 4,130 | $129.4K | $127.2K | 3 | 2026-06-11 |
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
ETF Holders
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Fundamentals
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
Metrics
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/E Ratio | 29.5 |
| P/B Ratio | 8.1 |
| P/S Ratio | 2.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 15.4 |
| TTM Revenue | $1.9B |
| TTM Net Income | $0.2B |
| TTM EPS | $1.06 |
| ROE | 27.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.91% |
| Debt/Equity | 3.90 |