PAG Penske Automotive Group, Inc.

XNYS 212.30 +0.00% Pre-market
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Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

PAG $212.30 ▲ +0.00%
Key stats
$212.30
Pre-market $212.30 +0.00%
52-Week Range
$140.12 – $227.00
YTD
+34.23%
IV Rank (30D)
2.85
Straddle Price
$4.10
P/C Vol Ratio
0.11
Market Cap
$13.9B
Open
$213.38
Day Range
$212.25 – $213.38
Volume
414,221
Prev Close
$212.21
Fair Value
MODEL: NEUTRAL

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.91%
Beta vs SPY0.77
Cost of Equity (CAPM)8.77% (VRP-adj)
WACC8.34%
Volatility Risk Premium+76.9pp (IV − HV30)
Effective Tax Rate25.9%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)-4.9%
DCF Horizon10 years explicit + fade
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$0.5B
Return on Equity (TTM)15.9%
Book / Price42.7% — banking bias active (P/B is primary)
Gross Margin (TTM)16.0%
FCF Margin (TTM)1.6%
Debt / Equity0.35
Quality Score3/6 — normal (10y DCF)
Market-Implied Growth+11.4% (reverse-DCF on current price)
SMA 50$210.15 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$208.15
Bollinger Width / SMA206.6% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$2.0B
Market Cap$14B
Peers used for multiples: AN, DKS, LAD, LEA, M (filtered from 8 ETF-co-members; sector bias active)
60-Day Conviction
24%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 4, 2026
$209.71
α -1.2% rank 0%
conviction
80%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Jan 4, 2027
$215.88
α +1.7% rank 0%
conviction
55%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Feb 2, 2027
$213.58
α +0.6% rank 1%
conviction
24%
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF $60.48 17%
DDM (Gordon) $49.51 14%
Peer P/E $119.39 8% median 8.3× · 5 peers
Peer EV/EBITDA $126.72 8% median 7.2× · 5 peers
Peer P/B $115.17 2% median 1.3× · 5 peers
Peer P/S $122.79 5% median 0.2× · 5 peers
Market Anchor (SMA50) $210.15 35% stability 100% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) $219.23 12% 14 strikes · skew +1.87
As of 2026-11-05 · updated
About
Industry (SIC)
RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS (5500) · industry map
Exchange
XNYS
Market Cap
$13.9B
Employees
27,700
List Date
1996-10-23
CIK
0001019849
Headquarters
Bloomfield Hills, MI
Homepage
https://www.penskeautomotive.com

Penske Automotive Group operates in 19 US states and overseas. It has about 150 US and Puerto Rico light-vehicle stores as well as 219 franchised dealerships overseas, primarily in the United Kingdom but also in Australia, Germany, Italy, and Japan. The company is the third-largest US publicly traded dealership in terms of light-vehicle revenue and sells more than 40 brands, with over 90% of retail automotive revenue coming from luxury and import names. Other segments are service and finance and insurance. The firm's Premier Truck Group owns 45 truck dealerships selling mostly Freightliner and…

Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
Month'21'22'23'24'25'26Avg
Jan4.12%-3.13%12.42%-7.56%10.29%-0.87%2.54%
Feb10.90%-5.20%10.27%0.44%2.98%-0.01%3.23%
Mar15.34%-1.96%-2.01%4.75%-14.20%-4.61%-0.45%
Apr8.43%11.21%-3.25%-4.86%6.35%14.99%5.48%
May-5.19%6.48%-3.19%0.08%5.51%-1.45%0.37%
Jun-13.19%-9.93%20.37%-2.89%7.56%4.99%1.15%
Jul13.63%7.22%-3.38%18.35%-5.85%22.79%8.79%
Aug0.11%-1.45%1.04%-0.67%9.60%-0.42%1.37%
Sep12.16%-15.67%0.54%-2.53%-5.81%-7.64%-3.16%
Oct3.88%10.18%-12.33%-7.08%-9.41%4.58%-1.70%
Nov-7.89%10.31%1.06%10.65%1.73%-0.45%*2.57%
Dec7.65%-7.87%4.04%-8.97%-2.21%---1.47%
Total56.20%-4.19%23.91%-3.56%3.02%32.26%17.94%
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $208.15
SMA 50: $210.15
SMA 200: $183.48
Current: $212.30
EMA 12: $211.23
EMA 26: $209.64
MACD: 1.5911 | Signal: 0.5483
BULLISH
ADX (14): 22.17
WEAK TREND
+DI: 26.90
−DI: 20.32

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 57.83
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 58.26
Stoch %D: 78.70
Williams %R: -73.33

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $222.38
BB Lower: $193.91
NEUTRAL
OBV: 65,540
Vol SMA 20: 654,457
Vol ROC: -21.75%
ATR: $2.22
True Range: $1.17
HV 20: 31.4%
HV 30: 29.4%
HV 60: 21.9%

Data Summary

Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-11-06T00:00:00 – 2026-11-04T00:00:00
AI Analysis

LLM Stock Analysis Report: PAG

Executive Summary

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of Penske Automotive Group (PAG). Our overall assessment is NEUTRAL with a confidence level of 6 out of 10.

Key drivers:

  • Technical momentum signals indicate a neutral-to-bullish trend, supported by the MACD's bullish crossover.
  • Recent dividend increases and stable earnings performance have contributed to positive sentiment.
  • Low volatility and historical stability suggest a relatively low-risk investment opportunity.

Primary risks:

  • Overbought conditions in RSI and Stochastic %K may lead to short-term corrections or consolidation.
  • Potential for increased competition in the automotive retail market could impact PAG's growth prospects.

Investment thesis: Penske Automotive Group (PAG) is a stable dividend payer with low volatility, offering a relatively conservative investment opportunity. While recent dividend increases have boosted sentiment, caution should be exercised due to overbought technical indicators and potential sector risks.

Recent news sentiment impact: Positive headlines about dividend increases and earnings beats have contributed to the overall positive sentiment.

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction: Medium-term (1-3 months): Bullish Short-term (1-4 weeks): Neutral Long-term (3-12 months): Bearish

Support/Resistance Levels:

  • Lower Bollinger Band: $166.54
  • Middle Bollinger Band: $176.27
  • Upper Bollinger Band: $186.01
  • SMA 20: $176.27
  • EMA 26: $174.79

Momentum Signals: RSI interpretation: Overbought (60.69) MACD signal: Bullish crossover (3.69 / Signal: 0.23 / Histogram: 3.46)

Volume Analysis: Volume SMA 20: 295028.10 On-Balance Volume (OBV): -7182109.48 Volume Rate of Change: -67.91%

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary: Recent news headlines have been overwhelmingly positive, highlighting dividend increases and earnings beats.

Sentiment Assessment: Positive sentiment dominates, with 4 out of 6 articles having a positive tone.

Catalyst Identification: Upcoming events: Earnings dates not available; Sector performance: Automotive retail sector has shown stability.

Market Narrative: Technical signals are consistent with the recent price action, while news sentiment is supportive. However, overbought conditions and potential sector risks may lead to caution.

Risk & Volatility Assessment

Beta Interpretation: PAG's beta is 0.64 (vs SPY), indicating low volatility relative to the market.

Volatility Regime: Current vs historical volatility levels: Low volatility - stock moves less than market.

Options Market Signals: IV rank: 33.3% (Medium); Put/Call volume ratio: 0.05 (Bullish sentiment).

Downside Protection: Support levels: Lower Bollinger Band ($166.54), SMA 20 ($176.27); Risk management considerations: Stop-loss levels and position sizing.

Market Context & Positioning

Sector Performance: Automotive retail sector has shown stability.

Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggesting institutional interest are absent due to low volume flow.

Correlation Analysis: How stock moves relative to market (R-squared interpretation): 0.30 - relatively stable correlation with the market.

Relative Valuation: Position within trading range: Neutral

Key Levels & Action Items

Critical Price Levels:

  • Lower Bollinger Band: $166.54
  • Middle Bollinger Band: $176.27
  • Upper Bollinger Band: $186.01

Breakout/Breakdown Levels: SMA 20: $176.27; EMA 26: $174.79

Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No earnings dates available.

Risk Management: Stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations: Use technical support levels as stop-loss targets, adjust position size based on volatility and market conditions.

This comprehensive analysis provides a balanced view of Penske Automotive Group (PAG), highlighting both bullish and bearish factors. While recent dividend increases and stable earnings performance have contributed to positive sentiment, caution should be exercised due to overbought technical indicators and potential sector risks.

Generated
Earnings History
24 of 24 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
6.50%
Avg Actual Move
1.45%
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2021-02-10 Pre-Market 6.23% 0.52% 0.08x Within
2021-04-28 Pre-Market 7.01% 0.34% 0.05x Within
2021-07-15 Pre-Market 0.63% 0.30% 0.48x Within
2021-10-27 Pre-Market 8.31% 6.61% 0.80x Within
2022-02-09 Pre-Market 7.13% 0.04% 0.01x Within
2022-04-27 Pre-Market 9.92% 0.28% 0.03x Within
2022-07-27 Pre-Market 10.06% 1.50% 0.15x Within
2022-10-26 Pre-Market 10.50% 0.11% 0.01x Within
2023-02-08 Pre-Market 6.27% 1.21% 0.19x Within
2023-04-26 Pre-Market 5.70% 0.75% 0.13x Within
2023-07-26 Pre-Market 6.30% 1.25% 0.20x Within
2023-10-25 Pre-Market 8.32% 0.84% 0.10x Within
2024-02-07 Pre-Market 4.74% 1.00% 0.21x Within
2024-04-30 Pre-Market 7.11% 1.59% 0.22x Within
2024-07-31 Pre-Market 6.10% 5.60% 0.92x Within
2024-10-29 Pre-Market 7.68% 1.72% 0.22x Within
2025-02-13 After-Close 5.44% 0.82% 0.15x Within
2025-04-30 Pre-Market 6.20% 1.22% 0.20x Within
2025-07-30 Pre-Market 6.26% 0.71% 0.11x Within
2025-10-29 Pre-Market 8.00% 1.37% 0.17x Within
2026-02-11 Pre-Market 5.87% 5.36% 0.91x Within
2026-04-29 After-Close 5.78% 0.08% 0.01x Within
2026-07-29 Pre-Market 4.65% 1.56% 0.34x Within
2026-10-28 Pre-Market 1.70% 0.09% 0.05x Within

Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →

PAG Options Activity & IV Rank

PAG IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →

Volatility Metrics

Current IV: 6.8%
7-DTE IV: 10.5%
Expected Move: $4.10
7-DTE Move: $4.10
Days to Exp: 16 (2026-11-20)

Options Flow

Call Volume: 679
Put Volume: 78
P/C Volume: 0.115
BULLISH
Call OI: 2,948
Put OI: 12,311
P/C OI: 4.176
Total OI: 15,259

ATM Options Pricing

ATM Call: $3.50
ATM Put: $0.60
Call %: 1.6%
Put %: 0.3%

Chain Summary

Chain Volume: 1,020
Chain OI: 23,321
Last Updated: 11/4/2026
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Dealer Positioning
TYPICAL γ

Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 77th percentile of this name's own daily history, within its typical range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.

Gamma percentile
77%
vs own history
GEX tilt
+0.42
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.11
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.53
δ-decay vs time
Charm tilt -0.53: the estimated dealer exposure leans negative, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably as time passes and options approach expiry.

Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.

Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.

Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.

This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.

· 23 ATM contracts, 11k total OI
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
as of Nov 4 · ATM 11.9% / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
as of Nov 4 · No data

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)6.9LowNov 4
IV Rank (30 DTE)2.9LowNov 4
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$4.10Nov 4
Beta Analysis

Risk Metrics

Beta: 0.5410
Alpha: 26.93%
Correlation: 0.2513
R-Squared: 6.3%
Stock Volatility: 27.6%
Market Volatility: 12.8%

Analysis Details

Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Notable investors who own PAG
4 of 37 tracked investors
InvestorValueShare of their portfolioRankQ/Q sharesSource
Millennium Management Hedge fund
Izzy Englander
$30.2M
0.02%
#883 of 3716+253.3%13F
Renaissance Technologies Hedge fund
Jim Simons
$9.3M
0.01%
#1097 of 3138-36.6%13F
Citadel Hedge fund
Ken Griffin
$2.1M
0.00%
#2851 of 6285-82.4%13F
Rockefeller Capital Management Family office
Rockefeller family
$99K
0.00%
#3000 of 4729-9.7%13F

Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions

PAG Institutional Ownership (13F)

Latest filings — 2026-09-30
Diluted shares outstanding: 65,747,302 (as of 2026-09-30)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

420 filers21,003,175 shares$3.73B value31.95% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 2,333,144 $417.52M 11.19% 3.55% 2026-06-30
2 Dimensional Fund Advisors LP Custodian 1,648,081 $294.93M 7.90% 2.51% 2026-06-30
3 Victory Capital Management Inc. 1,642,363 $293.90M 7.87% 2.50% 2026-06-30
4 Vanguard Group Inc Custodian 1,698,133 $268.80M 7.20% 2.58% 2025-12-31
5 Burgundy Asset Management Ltd. 885,860 $163.36M 4.38% 1.35% 2025-09-30
6 Bank of Montreal Custodian 825,389 $147.70M 3.96% 1.26% 2026-06-30
7 Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC 796,548 $142.54M 3.82% 1.21% 2026-06-30
8 Vanguard Capital Management LLC 764,299 $136.77M 3.66% 1.16% 2026-06-30
9 LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT 678,533 $121.42M 3.25% 1.03% 2026-06-30
10 Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. 631,653 $113.03M 3.03% 0.96% 2026-06-30
11 State Street Corp 625,209 $111.88M 3.00% 0.95% 2026-06-30
12 Morgan Stanley Custodian 584,751 $104.64M 2.80% 0.89% 2026-06-30
13 AQR Capital Management, LLC Custodian 456,043 $81.61M 2.19% 0.69% 2026-06-30
14 Bank of America Corp Custodian 441,829 $79.07M 2.12% 0.67% 2026-06-30
15 GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL 394,387 $70.58M 1.89% 0.60% 2026-06-30
16 Goldman Sachs Group Inc Custodian 385,752 $69.03M 1.85% 0.59% 2026-06-30
17 Bank of New York Mellon Corp Custodian 378,997 $67.82M 1.82% 0.58% 2026-06-30
18 Geode Capital Management, LLC Custodian 355,157 $63.57M 1.70% 0.54% 2026-06-30
19 Bahl & Gaynor LLC 264,799 $47.39M 1.27% 0.40% 2026-06-30
20 UBS Group AG Custodian 245,492 $43.93M 1.18% 0.37% 2026-06-30
21 Invesco Ltd. Custodian 241,287 $43.18M 1.16% 0.37% 2026-06-30
22 Norges Bank 200,575 $35.89M 0.96% 0.31% 2026-06-30
23 BRUNI J V & CO /CO 171,994 $30.78M 0.82% 0.26% 2026-06-30
24 PRIVATE MANAGEMENT GROUP INC 170,497 $30.51M 0.82% 0.26% 2026-06-30
25 Millennium Management LLC Custodian 168,776 $30.20M 0.81% 0.26% 2026-06-30
8 filers$26.77M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian $9.39M 35.09% 2026-06-30
2 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian $8.70M 32.49% 2026-06-30
3 J. Goldman & Co LP $4.69M 17.51% 2026-06-30
4 Walleye Trading LLC $1.95M 7.29% 2026-06-30
5 Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian $1.31M 4.88% 2026-06-30
6 IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian $662.12K 2.47% 2026-06-30
7 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $35.79K 0.13% 2026-06-30
8 Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian $35.79K 0.13% 2026-06-30
4 filers$4.99M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian $2.42M 48.44% 2026-06-30
2 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian $1.18M 23.68% 2026-06-30
3 Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian $1.14M 22.85% 2025-09-30
4 Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian $250.53K 5.02% 2026-06-30

PAG Insider Trading (Form 4)

Latest: 2026-09-03
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-09-03 David Hoogendoorn Director Grant (A) +10 RSU — EDGAR
2026-09-03 Lisa Ann Davis Director Grant (A) +170 RSU — EDGAR
2026-09-03 Wolfgang Duerheimer Director Grant (A) +158 RSU — EDGAR
2026-09-03 Sandra E. Pierce Director Grant (A) +80 RSU — EDGAR
2026-09-03 Raymond E Scott Director Grant (A) +10 RSU — EDGAR
2026-09-03 Greg C Smith Director Grant (A) +144 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-05 Raymond E Scott Director Grant (A) +12 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-05 Greg C Smith Director Grant (A) +178 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-05 Wolfgang Duerheimer Director Grant (A) +195 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-05 Sandra E. Pierce Director Grant (A) +98 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-05 David Hoogendoorn Director Grant (A) +12 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-05 Lisa Ann Davis Director Grant (A) +209 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-03 Claude H Denker III EVP - Human Resources Tax (F) −2,977 $170.44 -$507.4K EDGAR
2026-06-03 Michelle Hulgrave EVP & CFO Mixed −4,218 $170.92 -$721.0K EDGAR
2026-06-03 Shane M. Spradlin EVP, Gen. Counsel & Sec. Tax (F) −3,181 $170.44 -$542.2K EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.

PAG Insider Holdings

11 insiders · @ $212.30
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 Roger S Penske Chair & CEO 34,333,500 $7.29B $41.33M 47 2026-06-03
2 H Brian Thompson Director 118,008 $25.05M $194.1K 20 2025-12-18
3 Michael R Eisenson Director 74,591 $15.84M $0 20 2025-12-18
4 Robert H Kurnick Jr President 74,096 $15.73M -$8.99M 44 2026-06-03
5 Ronald G Steinhart Director 51,912 $11.02M -$1.15M 22 2024-12-13
6 Gregory W Penske Vice Chair 49,157 $10.44M $0 9 2025-12-18
7 Shane M. Spradlin EVP, Gen. Counsel & Sec. 34,963 $7.42M -$4.47M 49 2026-06-03
8 Claude H Denker III EVP - Human Resources 30,688 $6.52M -$3.62M 28 2026-06-03
9 Sandra E. Pierce Director 24,077 $5.11M -$1.90M 61 2026-09-03
10 Michelle Hulgrave EVP & CFO 19,096 $4.05M -$1.87M 14 2026-06-03
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.

PAG Board & Officers

As of SEC filings through Sep 3, 2026

Directors 13

Officers 6

10% owners 1

Changes in the last 10 years (12)
Dec 18, 2025Gregory W Penske first listed as Vice Chair in an SEC filing
May 14, 2025Yosuke Kawakami became a director
May 14, 2025Raymond E Scott became a director
May 14, 2025David Hoogendoorn became a director
Dec 16, 2021Kota Odagiri became a director
Jun 1, 2021Michelle Hulgrave became EVP & CFO
Dec 12, 2018Masashi Yamanaka became a director
May 10, 2018Wolfgang Duerheimer became a director
Aug 31, 2017Greg C Smith became a director
May 17, 2017Roger S Penske Jr no longer listed as President in SEC filings
May 17, 2017Roger S Penske Jr first listed as a director in an SEC filing
May 10, 2017Lisa Ann Davis became a director
Not reported recently (11)
  • John Barr · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Mar 14, 2025
  • Ronald G Steinhart · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Dec 13, 2024
  • Kota Odagiri · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 9, 2024
  • John D. Carlson Jr. · Last reported as EVP & CFO in an SEC filing dated Jun 3, 2021
  • Roger S Penske Jr · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Mar 5, 2020
  • Masashi Yamanaka · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Dec 14, 2018
  • Mitsui & Co USA Inc · Last reported as a 10% owner in an SEC filing dated Mar 27, 2018
  • Mitsui & Co Ltd · Last reported as a 10% owner in an SEC filing dated Mar 27, 2018
  • Lucio A Noto · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Mar 5, 2018
  • William J Lovejoy · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Mar 5, 2018
  • Penske Corp · Last reported as a 10% owner in an SEC filing dated Oct 23, 2017
Compiled from SEC filings by the company and its directors and officers. Dates are as stated in those filings. Where no filing says when someone left, we show the last filing that listed them.

PAG Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)

Latest: 2026-06-02
Last 30d: 0 filings  ·  Last 90d: 0 filings

What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.

How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.

10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.

"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.

Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.

Filed Filer Role Shares Notice Value Planned Sale Broker Plan Link
2026-06-02 MICHELLE C HULGRAVE Officer 1,500 $257.7K 2026-06-02 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … — EDGAR
2026-05-18 SMITH GREG C Director 1,488 $239.4K 2026-05-18 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2025-11-24 MICHELLE C HULGRAVE Officer 2,100 $336.4K 2025-11-24 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … — EDGAR
2025-08-29 Sandra E. Pierce Trust UAD 12-6-96 AMD 1-8-15 Sandra E. Pierce TTEE Vice Chairperson 1,604 $301.4K 2025-08-29 UBS Financial Services Inc — EDGAR
2025-08-19 MICHELLE C HULGRAVE Director 1,100 $200.8K 2025-08-19 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … — EDGAR
2025-08-18 THE DAVIS REVOCABLE TRUST Director 1,604 $289.9K 2025-08-18 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … — EDGAR
2025-08-13 SHANE SPRADLIN Officer 3,000 $552.9K 2025-08-13 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … — EDGAR
2025-06-09 SHANE SPRADLIN Officer 3,158 $527.7K 2025-06-09 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … — EDGAR
2025-06-03 SMITH GREG C Director 1,529 $246.2K 2025-06-03 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2025-06-02 ROGER S. PENSKE Officer 97,457 $15.57M 2025-06-02 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … — EDGAR
Notice value is the aggregate market value the filer states they intend to sell — not a confirmed transaction. Compare to Insider Activity (Form 4) to see which planned sales actually executed. Market-wide feed: Planned sales (Form 144).
Recent SEC Filings
Latest: 2026-05-14
Current reports — material events the company must disclose within 4 business days (earnings releases, M&A, executive changes, etc.).
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-05-14 0001628280-26-035192 EDGAR
2026-04-29 0001628280-26-028227 EDGAR
2026-02-11 0001628280-26-007173 EDGAR
2025-11-19 0001628280-25-053042 EDGAR
2025-10-29 0001628280-25-047006 EDGAR
2025-10-15 0001628280-25-045120 EDGAR
2025-07-30 0001019849-25-000093 EDGAR
2025-07-23 0001019849-25-000091 EDGAR
2025-05-16 0001019849-25-000059 EDGAR
2025-04-30 0001019849-25-000046 EDGAR
Annual report — audited financial statements, MD&A, risk factors. Filed 60–90 days after fiscal year-end.
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-02-27 0001628280-26-012830 EDGAR
2025-02-21 0001019849-25-000022 EDGAR
2024-02-16 0001019849-24-000033 EDGAR
2023-02-21 0001019849-23-000038 EDGAR
2022-02-18 0001019849-22-000013 EDGAR
2021-02-19 0001558370-21-001299 EDGAR
2020-02-21 0001558370-20-001163 EDGAR
2019-02-22 0001558370-19-000917 EDGAR
2018-02-22 0001558370-18-000944 EDGAR
2017-02-24 0001558370-17-001005 EDGAR
Quarterly report — unaudited financials and MD&A. Filed 40–45 days after each of the first three fiscal quarters.
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-04-30 0001628280-26-028868 EDGAR
2025-10-30 0001628280-25-047533 EDGAR
2025-07-31 0001019849-25-000097 EDGAR
2025-05-01 0001019849-25-000050 EDGAR
2024-10-30 0001019849-24-000121 EDGAR
2024-07-31 0001019849-24-000096 EDGAR
2024-04-30 0001019849-24-000058 EDGAR
2023-10-30 0001019849-23-000148 EDGAR
2023-07-27 0001019849-23-000114 EDGAR
2023-04-27 0001019849-23-000068 EDGAR
ETF Holders
157 ETFs hold PAG
25 shown · $1.00B total exposure · 0.07% AUM-weighted avg weight
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
1 IJH iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.11% $136.0M $125.4B 2026-11-03
2 VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF Vanguard 0.00% $105.3M — 2026-09-30
3 DVY iShares Select Dividend ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.36% $84.1M $23.9B 2026-11-03
4 VB Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap ETF Vanguard 0.04% $74.1M — 2026-09-30
5 SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF Nport 0.08% $73.7M — 2026-05-31
6 VBR Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF Vanguard 0.07% $48.2M — 2026-09-30
7 DFSV Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF Dimensional 0.17% $48.0M — 2026-11-03
8 VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF Vanguard 0.04% $39.9M — 2026-09-30
9 DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF Dimensional 0.04% $37.4M — 2026-11-03
10 SMIG Bahl & Gaynor Small/Mid Cap Income Growth ETF Nport 2.31% $33.6M — 2026-06-30
11 VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF Vanguard 0.01% $32.8M — 2026-09-30
12 VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF Vanguard 0.02% $31.4M — 2026-09-30
13 DFAT Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF Dimensional 0.09% $28.5M — 2026-11-03
14 MDY State Street® SPDR® S&P MIDCAP 400® ETF Trust SPDR (State Street) 0.11% $28.2M $26.2B 2026-11-03
15 DFAS Dimensional US Small Cap ETF Dimensional 0.07% $25.7M — 2026-11-03
16 DON WisdomTree U.S. Midcap Dividend Fund Nport 0.59% $23.4M — 2026-06-30
17 SPMD State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 400™ Mid Cap ETF SPDR (State Street) 0.11% $20.5M $18.9B 2026-11-03
18 IJJ iShares S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.22% $19.1M $8.9B 2026-11-03
19 IEFA iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.01% $18.8M $193.1B 2026-11-03
20 WTV WisdomTree U.S. Value Fund Nport 0.59% $17.3M — 2026-06-30
21 VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF Vanguard 0.01% $17.0M — 2026-09-30
22 RWK Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Revenue ETF Invesco 1.23% $16.3M — 2026-11-03
23 IWR iShares Russell Mid-Cap ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.03% $16.0M $58.8B 2026-11-03
24 VYM Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF Vanguard 0.01% $14.4M — 2026-09-30
25 DCOR Dimensional US Core Equity 1 ETF Dimensional 0.03% $12.7M — 2026-11-03
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

Trailing P/E
—
TTM Diluted EPS
$14.35
TTM Revenue
$33.64B
TTM Net Income
$943.80M
TTM Op. Cash Flow
$847.80M
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
QuarterPeriod EndRevenueNet IncomeDiluted EPSOp. Cash Flow
Q3 '262026-09-30$8.42B$220.80M$3.36$305.50M
Q2 '262026-06-30$8.51B$260.40M$3.96$204.10M
Q1 '262026-03-31$7.86B$234.50M$3.56$215.00M
Q4 '252025-12-31$8.85B$228.10M$3.47$123.20M
Q3 '252025-09-30$8.05B$224.80M$3.41$399.20M
Q2 '252025-06-30$8.03B$266.60M$4.03$209.20M
Q1 '252025-03-31$7.95B$257.70M$3.86$291.00M
Q4 '242024-12-31$9.13B$286.40M$4.29$268.50M
Q3 '242024-09-30$7.59B$226.10M$3.39$271.00M
Q2 '242024-06-30$7.70B$241.20M$3.61$235.10M
Q1 '242024-03-31$7.45B$215.20M$3.21$456.00M
Q4 '232023-12-31$7.27B$190.70M$2.86$71.40M
Q3 2026 • period ending 2026-09-30 • filed 2026-10-29
Valuation

Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.

Price Multiples
  • P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
  • P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
  • P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
  • EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
  • EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
Profitability & Yields
  • ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
  • ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
  • Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
  • FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
Balance Sheet
  • Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
  • Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
Reading the history chart
  • Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
  • Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
  • Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
P/E
14.93
P/B
2.40
P/S
0.43
EV/EBITDA
11.27
EV/Sales
0.49
ROE
16.0%
ROA
5.1%
Div Yield
2.67%
FCF Yield
6.58%
Debt/Equity
0.36
Current Ratio
—
Market Cap
$14.00B
as of 2026-11-04
Short Interest & Float

Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.

Metric definitions
  • Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
  • SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
  • Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
  • Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
  • Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
  • Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
  • SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
  • 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
  • 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
  • >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
  • Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
  • Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
  • A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.

Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.

Short Interest
2.68M
SI % of Float
15.25%
Days to Cover
3.61
Short Vol Ratio
61.4%
Free Float
17.55M
Float %
26.7%
Short interest 2026-10-15 • Short volume 2026-11-04 • Float 2026-10-16