Snapshot

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$99.10

52-Week Range: $95.24 – $139.41
YTD: -14.38%
IV Rank (30D): 24.46
Straddle Price: $9.43
P/C Vol Ratio: 3.53
Market Cap: $147.9B

Info

Exchange: XNAS
Market Cap: $147.9B

PDD Holdings operates commerce businesses in over 80 countries globally. Its main operations are Pinduoduo, a social commerce platform in China, and Temu, a global e-commerce marketplace. PDD also has a community group purchase business in China. PDD has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities that support its underlying businesses.

Price History

Seasonality

Month	Avg Return	Years of Data
Jan	+0.07%	6
Feb	-3.85%	6
Mar	-4.64%	6
Apr	-6.55%	6
May	+5.02%	5
Jun	+2.82%	5
Jul	-3.90%	5
Aug	+4.48%	5
Sep	+4.46%	5
Oct	-4.51%	5
Nov	+6.95%	5
Dec	-1.51%	5

Technical Indicators

? Indicator Guide

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators

SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
+DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility

Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI (14)	43.7	Neutral
MACD	0.117	Bearish
SMA 50	$102.06	Below
SMA 200	$115.22	Below
Bollinger Bands		Neutral
ADX	12.2	Range
HV 30	35.4%

AI Analysis

LLM Stock Analysis Report

Executive Summary BULLISH (Confidence Level: 6/10)

Key drivers: Strong technical signals, moderate institutional interest Primary risks: Volatility regime shift, potential bearish catalysts

2-3 sentence investment thesis: PDD's recent decline may be an opportunity to buy into a strong fundamental story. The company's e-commerce giant status, combined with its growing user base and increasing market share, could drive long-term growth.

Recent news sentiment impact: Neutral (no clear directional signal from recent headlines)

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction: Short-term: Range-bound; Medium-term: Uptrend; Long-term: Bullish
Support/Resistance Levels: Key levels to monitor are $97.60 (lower Bollinger Band), $101.29 (SMA 20), and $104.99 (upper Bollinger Band)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (43.68)
- MACD signal: Bearish (0.12 / Signal: 0.21 / Histogram: -0.09)
- Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze
Volume Analysis: Volume trends suggest institutional interest, with a volume rate of change at 140.45%

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary: Negative (PDD falls 25%) and neutral headlines dominate recent news
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral (news sentiment is mixed)
Catalyst Identification: No clear catalysts identified in recent news, but potential earnings catalysts loom

Risk & Volatility Assessment

Beta Interpretation: High-risk stock with beta of 1.15
Volatility Regime: Above-average volatility regime (0.33) suggests increased market amplification
Options Market Signals: IV rank is low, indicating historically low volatility; put/call ratios suggest bearish sentiment

Market Context & Positioning

Sector Performance: PDD performs well within its sector/market
Institutional Activity: Institutional interest in options activity suggests potential accumulation
Correlation Analysis: R-squared interpretation suggests PDD moves with market amplification
Relative Valuation: PDD is positioned within a trading range, with room for potential upside

Key Levels & Action Items

Critical Price Levels: Monitor $97.60 (lower Bollinger Band), $101.29 (SMA 20), and $104.99 (upper Bollinger Band)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: A move above or below these levels could trigger significant price movements
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Earnings dates, potential regulatory changes, or product launches may impact stock price
Risk Management: Consider using stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations to manage risk

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and does not constitute a buy/sell recommendation.

Generated 2026-04-21 20:57 UTC

News

Filter Publishers:

Published	Title	Publisher
2026-04-14	ByteDance's $600 Billion Question: What Are Investors Really Buying?	Benzinga
2026-03-30	PDD Falls 25% as the Chinese E-Commerce Giant Enters Value Territory	Investing.com
2026-03-23	Ondas, GameStop, PDD and More Stocks With Earnings This Week	Benzinga
2026-03-22	1 Stock to Buy, 1 Stock to Sell This Week: Ondas, PDD	Investing.com
2026-03-20	Li Lu, the "Chinese Warren Buffett," Has 75% of Himalaya Capital's Portfolio Invested in Just 3 Stocks	The Motley Fool
2026-03-19	This Fintech Stock Is Up 21% in a Year as Profits Surge, but One Fund's Nearly $300 Million Sale Cut Its Stake in Half	The Motley Fool
2026-03-03	3 Signals That Will Determine MercadoLibre's Next 3 Years	The Motley Fool
2026-02-25	Survival And Protectionism: Dingdong Surrenders To Meituan As India Blocks A Chinese Buyout	Benzinga

Earnings History

Options Activity

IV Rank (30D): 24.46
IV Rank (7D): 52.99
Avg IV: 43.6%
Straddle (30D): $9.43
Straddle (7D): $5.11
P/C Volume: 3.53

Options Chain

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Spread Scanner GPU

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? Score Guide Full Algorithm Docs ↗

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR25 and BF25 from the live options chain. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)

Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)

RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
MACD crossover + histogram trend
Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200

Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)

Stochastic %K <20 / >80
Williams %R <−80 / >−20

Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)

Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs

Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)

IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)

Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)

Min open interest across all legs
OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Skew Metrics per Expiry ? Guide

Risk Reversal (RR)

IV(10% OTM call) − IV(10% OTM put)

Measures the direction of skew — which side the market is paying up for. Expressed as a vol difference in percentage points.

−3% to −10% → mild to moderate put skew. Normal for most large-cap stocks — puts always carry some premium from portfolio hedging demand.
−10% to −20% → strong put skew. Elevated fear, heavy hedging, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, macro event). Worth noting.
Below −20% → extreme put skew. Stress signal — market aggressively buying downside protection.
−3% to 0% → nearly symmetric. Rare for equities; means the market sees roughly equal up/down risk.
Positive → calls more expensive than puts. Unusual — signals strong upside momentum, short squeeze risk, or takeover speculation.

Butterfly (BF)

½ × (IV call + IV put) − IV ATM

Measures curvature — how much the wings are bid up relative to ATM. Always expressed as a positive number (wing premium). Think of it as the cost of a tail hedge above and beyond the ATM vol.

0% to 2% → flat smile. Market pricing near-normal return distribution, low tail risk.
2% to 5% → moderate wing premium. Some tail risk priced in — typical in earnings cycles or elevated VIX environments.
Above 5% → high curvature. Fat tails aggressively priced — market expects a large move but is uncertain of direction. Very common right before earnings.

Reading them together

RR	BF	Interpretation
-15%	+5%	Strong put skew + fat tails — fear or upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA)
-5%	+1%	Normal mild put skew, calm market
-20%	+8%	Extreme fear — heavy hedging, major event risk
~0%	+2%	Balanced market, no strong directional bias
+5%	+3%	Call skew — bullish momentum or short squeeze risk

Expiry	DTE	ATM IV	25d Put IV	25d Call IV	Risk Reversal	Butterfly	Interpretation	Strategy Suggestions (hover for rationale)

IV Rank (7 DTE)

IV Rank (30 DTE)

Straddle Price (30 DTE)

Beta Analysis

Beta (1Y vs SPY): 1.15
Correlation (SPY): 44.4%
R²: 0.20
Ann. Volatility: 33.4%
SPY Volatility: 12.9%

Above average volatility - stock moves with market amplification

Beta & Alpha Over Time

Fundamentals

? Fundamentals Guide

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics

Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.

How to read the bars

Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

Valuation

? Valuation Guide

Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.

Price Multiples

P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.

Profitability & Yields

ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.

Reading the history chart

Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.

Metric:

Short Interest & Float

? Short Interest Guide

Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.

Metric definitions

Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.

How to read the signals

SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
>30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.

History chart

Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.

Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.

Metric:

Constituent Performance

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Click any bar to view the full quote for that stock.

Constituents

Symbol	Price	1 Day	1 Week	1 Month

PDD Holdings Inc. American Depositary Shares (PDD) Stock Quote & Options Analysis | Frenzy Capital

Overlays

Oscillators (sub-panels)