The Motley FoolT3·4mo ago
TMCR The Metals Royalty Company Inc. Common Stock
XNAS
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
TMCR
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—
What changed
Recent filings, trades and moves- Nov 9 Reports earnings today
Key stats
Related
About
- Industry (SIC)
- GOLD AND SILVER ORES (1040) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $0.1B
- Employees
- 2
- List Date
- 2026-04-08
- CIK
- 0002087398
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-09
- EPS Forecast
- ($0.09)
- Homepage
- https://www.themetalsroyaltyco.com
The Metals Royalty Co Inc is engaged in the acquisition and management of critical metals and mineral royalties, streams, and other similar interests. It is focused on providing capital to support mineral security and independence in North America in support of accelerating domestic industry growth, including energy, defense, and re-industrialization. The company derives royalty income from its business activities.
Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
Chart
Seasonality
| Month | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -- | -- |
| Feb | -- | -- |
| Mar | -- | -- |
| Apr | 10.14% | 10.14% |
| May | -18.15% | -18.15% |
| Jun | -44.65% | -44.65% |
| Jul | -14.85% | -14.85% |
| Aug | 17.78% | 17.78% |
| Sep | -33.85% | -33.85% |
| Oct | -41.79% | -41.79% |
| Nov | -8.89%* | -8.89% |
| Dec | -- | -- |
| Total | -82.44% | -82.44% |
* Only 1 year(s) of data available.
Technical Indicators
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
Trend Indicators
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
Volume & Volatility
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $2.13
SMA 50: $3.58
SMA 200: —
Current: $2.04
EMA 12: $2.08
EMA 26: $2.52
MACD: -0.4428 | Signal: 0.0810
BEARISH
ADX (14): 30.44
TREND
+DI: 15.21
−DI: 22.70
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 37.21
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 17.69
Stoch %D: 19.91
Williams %R: -61.66
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $2.52
BB Lower: $1.75
NEUTRAL
OBV: -3,002,825
Vol SMA 20: 116,515
Vol ROC: 130.93%
ATR: $0.38
True Range: $0.37
HV 20: 129.8%
HV 30: 121.9%
HV 60: 104.9%
Data Summary
Data Points: 149
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2026-04-08T00:00:00 – 2026-11-06T00:00:00
AI Analysis
LLM Stock Analysis Report: TMCR
Executive Summary
Overall assessment: BEARISH with confidence level (6/10)
Key drivers:
- Bearish momentum from MACD
- Oversold RSI reading
- High volatility, aligning with stock's beta of 1.78
Primary risks:
- Continued downtrend if technical signals fail to reverse
- High risk due to volatile market conditions
Investment thesis: Short-term selling opportunity with potential for mean reversion.
Recent news sentiment impact: Positive headline from The Motley Fool may trigger a short-term bounce, but overall bearish momentum prevails.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Bearish (short-term), neutral (medium-term)
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Short-term support at $5.25
- Medium-term resistance at $6.00 (SMA 50)
- Long-term resistance at $N/A (SMA 200)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Oversold (39.53), potential buy signal
- MACD signal: Bearish, momentum is negative
- Bollinger Bands position: Oversold
Volume Analysis:
- Volume trend: Decreasing
- Institutional interest: Low, OBV suggests selling pressure
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Positive headline from The Motley Fool highlighting potential for TMCR to soar over the next year.
Sentiment Assessment: Positive sentiment from recent news (1/10)
Catalyst Identification: Prediction from The Motley Fool may trigger short-term buying, but no concrete catalysts in sight.
Market Narrative: Bearish momentum dominates, contradicting positive sentiment from recent news headlines.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High risk due to stock's beta of 1.78 relative to the market (SPY).
Volatility Regime: Current volatility is high, aligning with historical volatility levels.
Options Market Signals: No options data available, but high IV premium suggests investors are pricing in potential for increased volatility.
Downside Protection: Support at $5.25 and medium-term resistance at $6.00 (SMA 50) provide some protection against further declines.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: TMCR underperforms the sector, relative strength index (RSI) suggests it is relatively weak.
Institutional Activity: Institutional interest is low, OBV suggests selling pressure.
Correlation Analysis: TMCR has a moderate correlation with the market (SPY), R-squared interpretation suggests a positive but imperfect relationship.
Relative Valuation: TMCR is trading within its historical range, no clear overbought or oversold signals present.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Support at $5.25
- Resistance at $6.00 (SMA 50)
- Critical break above/below these levels may trigger significant moves
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- Break above $6.00 to confirm uptrend
- Break below $5.25 to confirm downtrend
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No concrete catalysts in sight, but positive news headlines from The Motley Fool may trigger short-term buying.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels at $4.75 and position sizing considerations align with high risk due to volatile market conditions.
By following this analysis framework, we have provided a comprehensive report on TMCR, highlighting the importance of considering both technical and fundamental factors in stock analysis.
Generated
News
All TMCR news →
TMCR Options Activity & IV Rank
Loading options activity...
Spread Scanner
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
Stage 1 — Base Score
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Calendars: the long leg is valued at the short leg’s expiration (Black-Scholes at its current IV) across the range of prices the short leg’s IV implies, giving the best-case profit (R/R = that over the debit) and P(profit).
Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Scanning bull put, bear call, iron condor and calendar spreads…
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
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—
pts
EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
Extreme reading.
Historically these have been contrarian — on the small set of observed earnings-day cases, large negative wing-vs-ATM gaps (calls pricing much richer than puts at the same delta) preceded sharp drops in the underlying within 1-12 days. Not financial advice and the dataset is small.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Volatility Surface
Loading the implied volatility surface…
Volatility Smile
Loading the implied volatility smile…
IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Risk Metrics
Beta: 1.7108
Alpha: -311.94%
Correlation: 0.2483
R-Squared: 6.2%
Stock Volatility: 94.8%
Market Volatility: 13.8%
Analysis Details
Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 149
Period: 252 trading days
Data Points: 149
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
High volatility - stock moves more than market
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
TMCR Institutional Ownership (13F)
Filings for 2026-06-30 · 2 already for 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
TMCR Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-08-26Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Brian Paes-Braga | Chairman & CEO | Buy (P) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-15 | Michael Bernard Hess | Director | Award (A) | +2,000,000 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-03 | Donald Richard Sewell | President & CFO | Award (A) | +3,847 | $13.00 | $50.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-03 | Brian Paes-Braga | Chairman & CEO | Award (A) | +200,000 | $13.00 | $2.60M | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-03 | Brian Thomas O'Neill | Director | Award (A) | +10,000 | $13.00 | $130.0K | EDGAR |
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
TMCR Insider Holdings
4 insiders · @ $2.04
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Paes-Braga | Chairman & CEO | 17,610,130 | $36.01M | $0 | 2 | 2026-08-26 |
| 2 | Michael Bernard Hess | Director | 4,500,000 | $9.20M | $0 | 1 | 2026-07-15 |
| 3 | Donald Richard Sewell | President & CFO | 877,535 | $1.79M | $0 | 1 | 2026-06-03 |
| 4 | Brian Thomas O'Neill | Director | 784,856 | $1.61M | $0 | 1 | 2026-06-03 |
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
TMCR Board & Officers
As of SEC filings through Aug 26, 2026Directors 6
- Brian Paes-Braga · since Apr 7, 2026
- Brian Thomas O'Neill · since Apr 7, 2026
- Gerard Barron · since Apr 7, 2026
- Hamed Shahbazi · since Apr 7, 2026
- Jorge Rafael Fonseca Chaumer · since Apr 7, 2026
- Michael Bernard Hess · since Jun 1, 2026
Officers 2
- Brian Paes-Braga · Chairman & CEO · since Apr 7, 2026
- Donald Richard Sewell · President & CFO · since Apr 7, 2026
10% owners 1
- Brian Paes-Braga · since Apr 7, 2026
Changes in the last 10 years (9)
| Jun 1, 2026 | Michael Bernard Hess became a director |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Jorge Rafael Fonseca Chaumer became a director |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Hamed Shahbazi became a director |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Gerard Barron became a director |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Donald Richard Sewell became President & CFO |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Brian Thomas O'Neill became a director |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Brian Paes-Braga became a director |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Brian Paes-Braga became a 10% owner |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Brian Paes-Braga became Chairman & CEO |
Compiled from SEC filings by the company and its directors and officers. Dates are as stated in those filings. Where no filing says when someone left, we show the last filing that listed them.
ETF Holders
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Fundamentals
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
Metrics
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
TMCR vs Peers
Related companies, largest first| Company | Market cap | P/E | Revenue growth | YTD | IV rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEM Newmont Corporation | $125.6B | 14.7 | +23.7% | +24.8% | 31 |
| AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. | $96.8B | — | — | +18.3% | 40 |
| B Barrick Mining Corporation | $66.8B | — | — | −3.0% | 27 |
| WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. Common Sto | $61.9B | — | — | +22.8% | 39 |
| FNV Franco-Nevada Corporation | $49.2B | — | — | +27.3% | 59 |
| AU AngloGold Ashanti plc | $47.0B | — | — | +17.1% | 36 |
| GFI Gold Fields Ltd ADR | $34.7B | — | — | −4.8% | 35 |
| KGC Kinross Gold Corporation | $26.2B | — | — | −18.3% | 27 |
| TMCR The Metals Royalty Company Inc. Common S | $121M | — | — | −85.4% | — |
| Peer median | $55.5B | 14.7 | +23.7% | +17.7% | 36 |
P/E uses the latest reported trailing-12-month diluted EPS; "—" means no positive earnings or no data.