WB Weibo Corporation
XNAS
16.10
Delayed
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $6.17 – $11.61
- YTD
- +52.75%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 42.88
- Straddle Price
- $16.60
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 1.00
- Market Cap
- $1.6B
- Open
- $6.28
- Day Range
- $6.23 – $6.33
- Volume
- 453,493
- Prev Close
- $6.32
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.12% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.75 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 8.89% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 5.26% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +68.3pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +3.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Debt / Equity | 0.47 |
| Quality Score | 1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $6.73 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $6.46 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 71.5% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $-0.4B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $10.67 | 39% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 26.1× · 5 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | n/a | 0% | median 23.9× · 5 peers |
| Peer P/B | n/a | 0% | median 6.6× · 4 peers |
| Peer P/S | n/a | 0% | median 7.8× · 5 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $6.73 | 61% | stability 63% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC. (7370) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $1.6B
- Employees
- 5,651
- List Date
- 2014-04-14
- CIK
- 0001595761
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-17
- EPS Forecast
- $0.27 (1 est.)
- Homepage
- http://ir.weibo.com
Weibo Corp is a China-based company that operates a social media platform for people to create, discover and distribute content. The company currently operates and manages its business in two principal business lines globally - advertising and marketing services and value-added services. The Value-added Services mainly provide services such as membership services on social platforms, online games, live broadcasts, social e-commerce, and others. The company's main product is the social platform Weibo. It generates a substantial majority of its revenues from online advertising and marketing serv…
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 12.10% | 8.93% | 12.79% | -23.08% | 5.82% | 0.38% | 2.82% |
| Feb | 17.08% | -20.97% | -17.87% | 7.04% | -0.50% | -5.16% | -3.40% |
| Mar | -10.67% | -8.82% | 4.92% | -0.55% | -3.96% | -11.17% | -5.04% |
| Apr | 0.78% | -9.68% | -7.94% | -8.40% | -14.29% | -4.10% | -7.27% |
| May | 4.50% | -3.64% | -18.35% | 3.15% | 11.73% | -5.98% | -1.43% |
| Jun | 1.00% | 5.18% | -7.48% | -9.75% | 3.81% | -9.14% | -2.73% |
| Jul | 6.62% | -20.68% | 17.27% | -0.32% | 1.26% | 9.03% | 2.20% |
| Aug | -12.14% | 13.18% | -14.85% | -1.58% | 20.63% | -16.40% | -1.86% |
| Sep | -9.95% | -13.11% | -7.66% | 37.14% | 10.03% | -5.00% | 1.91% |
| Oct | -2.51% | -31.06% | -5.96% | -16.20% | -13.24% | -1.50%* | -11.74% |
| Nov | -14.02% | 27.93% | -12.54% | 7.14% | -8.01% | -- | 0.10% |
| Dec | -13.94% | 26.20% | 10.38% | -2.15% | -0.58% | -- | 3.98% |
| Total | -24.11% | -37.62% | -43.42% | -17.47% | 7.21% | -40.91% | -26.05% |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Here is the LLM Stock Analysis Report for WB:
Executive Summary
BULLISH (Confidence Level: 7/10)
Key drivers: Recent positive news headlines, moderate volatility, and a bullish options market sentiment.
Primary risks: Weak trend regime, potential overbought conditions, and high implied volatility.
Investment thesis: Weibo's recent news highlights its growing influence in the Chinese tech space. The stock's moderate volatility and bullish options market sentiment suggest that investors are cautiously optimistic about the company's future prospects. However, the weak trend regime and potential overbought conditions could lead to some short-term correction.
Recent news sentiment impact: Positive news headlines from consumer tech and live commerce platforms have contributed to a 10% price increase over the past month.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term - Neutral (weak trend regime), Medium-term - Bearish, Long-term - Bullish
Support/Resistance Levels: $7.07 (lower Bollinger Band) and $7.53 (SMA 20)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI: 63.29 (neutral)
- MACD: Bearish signal
- Bollinger Bands: Overbought conditions
Volume Analysis: Moderate volume flow, with a slight increase in buying pressure.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Positive news headlines from consumer tech and live commerce platforms, along with some negative sentiment from the US-China trade tensions.
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral to Positive (60:40 ratio)
Catalyst Identification: Earnings reports and product launches in the Chinese tech space could drive future price movements.
Market Narrative: The recent positive news headlines have contributed to a short-term bullish bias, but the weak trend regime suggests that investors should be cautious about potential corrections.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: 0.95 (moderate volatility)
Volatility Regime: Moderate volatility, with a slight increase in recent trading activity.
Options Market Signals:
- IV Rank: 25.0% (Medium)
- Current IV: 145.9%
- Expected Move: $0.97 (32 DTE), 7-DTE: $0.97
Downside Protection: Support levels at $7.07 and $7.53, with a stop-loss recommendation of $7.20.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: Weibo's stock has outperformed the broader technology sector in recent months.
Institutional Activity: Moderate volume flow suggests some institutional interest, but no clear trend can be established.
Correlation Analysis: 0.36 (moderate correlation with SPY)
Relative Valuation: Position within a trading range, with potential for further price appreciation if the company's earnings and revenue growth continue to outperform expectations.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels: $7.07 and $7.53
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: $8.20 (breakout above SMA 200) and $6.80 (breakdown below SMA 50)
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Earnings reports and product launches in the Chinese tech space could drive future price movements.
Risk Management: Stop-loss recommendation of $7.20, with a target price of $8.20 if the stock breaks above the SMA 200.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should not be taken as personalized investment advice.
WB Options Activity & IV Rank
WB IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Options Flow
ATM Options Pricing
Chain Summary
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 65th percentile of this name's own daily history, within its typical range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
Risk Metrics
Analysis Details
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
WB Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $396.25K | 50.36% | 2025-09-30 |
| 2 | Walleye Trading LLC | $237.40K | 30.17% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $153.19K | 19.47% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $1.00M | 42.02% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $894.43K | 37.40% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $286.77K | 11.99% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $157.50K | 6.59% | 2025-09-30 |
| 5 | Walleye Trading LLC | $45.74K | 1.91% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | $2.18K | 0.09% | 2026-06-30 |
WB Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-08-28| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Yan Wang | Director | Disp (D) | −31,200 | $7.10 | -$221.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-18 | Hong Du | Director | Mixed | +3,145 | $7.67 | -$23.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-18 | Yan Wang | Director | Exer (M) | +6,250 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-06 | Gaofei Wang | Chief Executive Officer | Other (J) | 374,791 (reclass) | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-06 | Gaofei Wang | Chief Executive Officer | Other (J) | 374,791 (reclass) | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-25 | Gaofei Wang | Chief Executive Officer | Other (J) | +374,791 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-19 | Pochin Christopher Lu | Director | Exer (M) | +6,250 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-19 | Pehong Chen | Director | Exer (M) | +6,250 | — | EDGAR |
WB Insider Holdings
4 insiders · @ $6.26| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaofei Wang | Chief Executive Officer | 1,106,627 | $6.93M | $0 | 3 | 2026-08-06 |
| 2 | Pehong Chen | Director | 172,626 | $1.08M | $0 | 1 | 2026-05-19 |
| 3 | Hong Du | Director | 110,975 | $694.7K | $0 | 1 | 2026-08-18 |
| 4 | Pochin Christopher Lu | Director | 51,950 | $325.2K | $0 | 1 | 2026-05-19 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KWEB KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF | Nport | 0.46% | $22.6M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF | Avantis | 0.01% | $3.7M | $27.6B | 2026-10-21 |
| 3 | KOMP State Street® SPDR® S&P Kensho New Economies Composite ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.04% | $1.1M | $2.5B | 2026-10-21 |
| 4 | APIE ActivePassive International Equity ETF | Nport | 0.05% | $513,510 | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 5 | AVES Avantis Emerging Markets Value ETF | Avantis | 0.02% | $378,958 | $1.5B | 2026-10-21 |
| 6 | PGJ Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF | Invesco | 0.39% | $305,505 | — | 2026-10-21 |
| 7 | SOCL Global X Social Media ETF | Global X | 0.26% | $209,186 | — | 2026-10-22 |
| 8 | GINN Goldman Sachs Innovate Equity ETF | Goldman | 0.06% | $113,908 | $178.8M | 2026-10-21 |
| 9 | AVSE Avantis Responsible Emerging Markets Equity ETF | Avantis | 0.03% | $57,761 | $219.3M | 2026-10-21 |
| 10 | AVEE Avantis Emerging Markets Small Cap Equity ETF | Avantis | 0.04% | $56,413 | $141.1M | 2026-10-21 |
| 11 | EMCR Xtrackers Emerging Markets Carbon Reduction and Climate Improvers ETF | Nport | 0.01% | $8,041 | — | 2026-05-29 |
| 12 | GSEE Goldman Sachs MarketBeta Emerging Markets Equity ETF | Goldman | 0.01% | $6,571 | $130.6M | 2026-10-21 |
| 13 | NTSE WisdomTree Emerging Markets Efficient Core Fund | Nport | 0.01% | $4,668 | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 14 | BKEM BNY Mellon Emerging Markets Equity ETF | Nport | 0.00% | $693 | — | 2026-07-31 |
| 15 | GXUS Goldman Sachs MarketBeta Total International Equity ETF | Goldman | 0.00% | $76 | $622.1M | 2026-10-21 |
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 '25 | 2025-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '24 | 2024-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '23 | 2023-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '22 | 2022-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '21 | 2021-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '20 | 2020-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '19 | 2019-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '18 | 2018-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '17 | 2017-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '16 | 2016-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '15 | 2015-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '14 | 2014-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.