Gold price on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
50/50 line74%Above $4166
Line nearest 50/50
74%
Market median
4169.55
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$83K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove $4156
99%
Above $4146
99%
Above $4016
99%
Above $4116
99%
Above $4136
99%
Above $4096
99%
Above $4066
99%
Above $4076
98%
+2
Above $4106
98%
Above $4086
98%
Above $4046
97%
Above $4126
96%
Above $4056
96%
Above $4166
74%
+ 8 more in the table below.
What the market expects
median 4169.55Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above $4186YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above $4176YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $4186 | NO | 90¢ | $1K | |
| Above $4176 | NO | 75¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
22| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $4156 | 99% | — | $4K | $2K |
| Above $4146 | 99% | — | $7K | $5K |
| Above $4016 | 99% | — | $137 | $137 |
| Above $4116 | 99% | — | $9K | $5K |
| Above $4136 | 99% | — | $14K | $10K |
| Above $4096 | 99% | — | $1K | $310 |
| Above $4066 | 99% | — | $84 | $83 |
| Above $4076 | 98% | +2.0 | $190 | $156 |
| Above $4106 | 98% | — | $2K | $1K |
| Above $4086 | 98% | — | $39 | $37 |
| Above $4046 | 97% | — | $142 | $141 |
| Above $4126 | 96% | — | $15K | $10K |
| Above $4056 | 96% | — | $105 | $104 |
| Above $4166 | 74% | — | $7K | $2K |
| Above $4176 | 6% | — | $12K | $4K |
| Above $4226 | 2% | — | $52 | $52 |
| Above $4246 | 2% | — | $29 | $29 |
| Above $4236 | 2% | — | $180 | $180 |
| Above $4206 | 2% | — | $1K | $1K |
| Above $4186 | 1% | — | $8K | $3K |
| Above $4196 | 1% | — | $923 | $702 |
| Above $4216 | 1% | — | $312 | $312 |