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Will the gold close price be above 4186 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Above $4186
Settles Oct 06, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Gold price on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Futures

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chance of YES50% -8.0pp in 24h
Price range (23h)
2–27%
24h volume
9.0K
$1 contracts
Open interest
3.7K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

hourly, 23h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above $417650%16.9K
Above $416650%14.6K
Above $415650%8.0K
Above $414650%7.5K
Above $407650%190
Above $419650%923
Above $401650%137
Above $422650%52

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO90¢ 1,514$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.