Natural gas price on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
50/50 line57%Above $3.120
Line nearest 50/50
57%
Market median
3.122
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$34K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove $3
100%
+48
Above $2.975
100%
+34
Above $2.995
100%
+46
Above $3.015
100%
Above $3.025
100%
Above $3.040
100%
Above $3.030
100%
Above $3.035
100%
Above $3.090
99%
Above $3.070
96%
Above $3.100
96%
Above $3.020
96%
Above $3.075
95%
Above $3.045
95%
+ 20 more in the table below.
What the market expects
median 3.122Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above $3.145YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above $3.140YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $3.145 | NO | 90¢ | $1K | |
| Above $3.140 | NO | 86¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
34| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $3 | 100% | +48.0 | $214 | $215 |
| Above $2.975 | 100% | +34.0 | $200 | $201 |
| Above $2.995 | 100% | +46.0 | $297 | $298 |
| Above $3.015 | 100% | — | $115 | $65 |
| Above $3.025 | 100% | — | $276 | $204 |
| Above $3.040 | 100% | — | $310 | $235 |
| Above $3.030 | 100% | — | $72 | $70 |
| Above $3.035 | 100% | — | $128 | $128 |
| Above $3.090 | 99% | — | $2K | $2K |
| Above $3.070 | 96% | — | $828 | $473 |
| Above $3.100 | 96% | — | $2K | $2K |
| Above $3.020 | 96% | — | $222 | $191 |
| Above $3.075 | 95% | — | $260 | $192 |
| Above $3.045 | 95% | — | $74 | $74 |
| Above $3.055 | 95% | — | $67 | $64 |
| Above $2.965 | 94% | +30.0 | $110 | $161 |
| Above $2.970 | 94% | +11.0 | $99 | $150 |
| Above $3.105 | 94% | — | $4K | $1K |
| Above $3.085 | 94% | — | $714 | $697 |
| Above $3.050 | 94% | — | $169 | $139 |
| Above $3.095 | 94% | — | $2K | $1K |
| Above $3.080 | 93% | — | $409 | $249 |
| Above $3.065 | 93% | — | $101 | $73 |
| Above $3.060 | 91% | — | $233 | $232 |
| Above $2.955 | 90% | — | $41 | $41 |
| Above $3.110 | 88% | — | $4K | $1K |
| Above $2.945 | 85% | +24.0 | $200 | $250 |
| Above $3.115 | 77% | — | $4K | $1K |
| Above $3.120 | 57% | — | $2K | $2K |
| Above $3.125 | 37% | — | $1K | $1K |
| Above $3.130 | 26% | — | $2K | $2K |
| Above $3.135 | 10% | — | $2K | $1K |
| Above $3.140 | 6% | — | $3K | $2K |
| Above $3.145 | 3% | — | $2K | $2K |
Same series
- Natural gas price on October 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?≈ Above $3.125 46% · settles 2026-10-07