What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above $3.130

chance of YES50%

Price range (8h)

21–38%

24h volume

2.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.7K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 8h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.