Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?
Current odds
one winnerOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
26| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180-199 | 30% | +16.0 | $40K | $185K |
| 160-179 | 27% | +23.4 | $37K | $185K |
| 200-219 | 18% | -15.0 | $19K | $185K |
| 140-159 | 13% | +12.6 | $35K | $185K |
| 220-239 | 6% | -22.0 | $26K | $185K |
| 120-139 | 3% | +2.8 | $49K | $185K |
| 240-259 | 2% | -14.4 | $22K | $185K |
| 260-279 | 1% | -3.5 | $16K | $185K |
| 280-299 | 0% | -1.0 | $16K | $185K |
| 100-119 | 0% | — | $51K | $185K |
| 300-319 | 0% | -0.5 | $10K | $185K |
| 320-339 | 0% | — | $17K | $185K |
| 500+ | 0% | — | $0 | $185K |
| 400-419 | 0% | — | $0 | $185K |
| 360-379 | 0% | — | $5K | $185K |
| 340-359 | 0% | — | $6K | $185K |
| 380-399 | 0% | — | $0 | $185K |
| 420-439 | 0% | — | $0 | $185K |
| 440-459 | 0% | — | $1K | $185K |
| 460-479 | 0% | — | $0 | $185K |
| 480-499 | 0% | — | $0 | $185K |
| 80-99 | 0% | — | $206K | $185K |
| <20 | 0% | — | $0 | $185K |
| 20-39 | 0% | — | $0 | $185K |
| 40-59 | 0% | — | $0 | $185K |
| 60-79 | 0% | — | $0 | $185K |
How it settles
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 2 12:00 PM ET to October 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.