P PolymarketCulture & Media

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

180-199
Settles Oct 09, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?

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chance of YES30% +16.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
16–26%
· 7d -17 pts
24h volume
$39.9K
USDC traded
Open interest
$185.2K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

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Other outcomes in this event

160-17927%$36.7K
200-21918%$19.2K
140-15913%$34.6K
220-2396%$25.7K
120-1393%$48.6K
240-2592%$21.7K
260-2791%$16.5K
280-2990%$15.8K

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 2 12:00 PM ET to October 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.

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