Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
50/50 line3%December 31
Line nearest 50/50
3%
Runner-up
0%
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$36K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
7| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 3% | — | $36K | $8.0M |
| March 31 | 0% | — | $0 | $8.0M |
| April 30 | 0% | — | $0 | $8.0M |
| June 30 | 0% | — | $0 | $8.0M |
| September 30 | 0% | — | $0 | $8.0M |
| May 31 | 0% | — | $0 | $8.0M |
| October 31 | 0% | — | $5 | $8.0M |
How it settles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.