polymarket
Pop Culture
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
March 31
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 14 days ·
High 2% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -85.7pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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