Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The prediction market on whether the US will confirm that aliens exist by June 30 is currently priced at 0.00, indicating a perceived probability of zero. This assessment is informed by the lack of credible information or official statements from the government of the United States suggesting the existence of extraterrestrial life or technology. The current price would likely remain unchanged unless new information emerges that significantly increases the likelihood of such a confirmation, such as a statement from a high-ranking government official or credible scientific findings. Conversely, if there is no indication of any progress towards confirming alien existence by June 30, the market price may continue to reflect its current low probability.