What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Before 2028

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (563d) 24h volume 222 Open interest 18.2K Event Next Fed rate hike?

78%

implied YES probability

Last 78 days · High 83% · Low 57% · 7d +2.6pp · 30d +5.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.