What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 5.4400

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Nevada gas prices tomorrow Gas prices

chance of YES84%

Price range (2h)

96–99%

24h volume

296

$1 contracts

Open interest

295

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 2h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.