K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the President's approval rating be above 39.3 according to RealClearPolitics?

Above 39.3
Settles Oct 09, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Trump's approval rating on Oct 9, 2026?

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Preview
chance of YES4% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
3–5%
24h volume
1.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
2.4K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

38.2 to 38.430%1.8K
37.9 to 38.124%1.4K
38.5 to 38.720%2.1K
38.8 to 39.012%995
39.1 to 39.38%1.6K
Below 37.66%2.4K
37.6 to 37.84%1.9K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO96¢ 2,324$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.

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