What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiCrypto

$86,250 or above

chance of YES50% -34.0pp in 24h

Price range (23h)

3–69%

24h volume

177.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

40.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$29K

27% on YES

hourly, 23h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 6, 2:01 PM ET	YES	14¢	11,152	$2K
Oct 6, 1:21 PM ET	NO	94¢	1,600	$2K
Oct 6, 12:44 PM ET	NO	87¢	1,554	$1K
Oct 6, 12:23 PM ET	NO	85¢	1,614	$1K
Oct 6, 11:57 AM ET	NO	75¢	2,500	$2K
Oct 6, 11:55 AM ET	NO	76¢	1,381	$1K
Oct 6, 11:52 AM ET	NO	70¢	2,500	$2K
Oct 6, 11:49 AM ET	NO	68¢	1,673	$1K
Oct 6, 11:06 AM ET	YES	72¢	2,335	$2K
Oct 6, 10:25 AM ET	YES	36¢	3,634	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.