BTC price on Oct 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
50/50 line70%$85,500 or above
Line nearest 50/50
70%
Runner-up
100%
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$1.5M
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/no$84,000 or above
100%
$82,750 or above
100%
$82,250 or above
100%
$82,000 or above
100%
$82,500 or above
100%
$77,750 or above
100%
$80,000 or above
100%
$80,750 or above
100%
$81,000 or above
100%
$81,750 or above
100%
$84,250 or above
99%
$85,000 or above
99%
$84,500 or above
99%
$84,750 or above
99%
+ 24 more in the table below.
Odds over time
hourlyHourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- $86,000 or aboveYES $17K · NO $29K · 24 orders · biggest $6K
- $85,750 or aboveYES $21K · NO $20K · 20 orders · biggest $5K
- $86,250 or aboveYES $8K · NO $21K · 15 orders · biggest $5K
- $85,000 or aboveYES $20K · NO $0 · 8 orders · biggest $3K
- $85,500 or aboveYES $13K · NO $3K · 11 orders · biggest $2K
- $85,250 or aboveYES $14K · NO $0 · 7 orders · biggest $3K
- $86,500 or aboveYES $5K · NO $8K · 9 orders · biggest $2K
- $87,500 or aboveYES $0 · NO $12K · 5 orders · biggest $3K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $86,000 or above | NO | 99¢ | $1K | |
| $85,750 or above | NO | 87¢ | $3K | |
| $86,000 or above | NO | 98¢ | $1K | |
| $86,000 or above | NO | 98¢ | $2K | |
| $86,000 or above | NO | 97¢ | $2K | |
| $85,750 or above | NO | 78¢ | $1K | |
| $85,750 or above | NO | 81¢ | $3K | |
| $85,500 or above | YES | 79¢ | $2K | |
| $84,750 or above | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| $85,750 or above | NO | 74¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
38| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $84,000 or above | 100% | — | $35K | $22K |
| $82,750 or above | 100% | — | $1K | $1K |
| $82,250 or above | 100% | — | $520 | $520 |
| $82,000 or above | 100% | — | $229 | $229 |
| $82,500 or above | 100% | — | $1K | $1K |
| $77,750 or above | 100% | — | $93 | $93 |
| $80,000 or above | 100% | — | $232 | $232 |
| $80,750 or above | 100% | — | $420 | $420 |
| $81,000 or above | 100% | — | $171 | $171 |
| $81,750 or above | 100% | — | $93 | $93 |
| $84,250 or above | 99% | — | $21K | $16K |
| $85,000 or above | 99% | — | $87K | $28K |
| $84,500 or above | 99% | — | $35K | $16K |
| $84,750 or above | 99% | — | $35K | $10K |
| $83,750 or above | 99% | — | $20K | $17K |
| $83,500 or above | 99% | — | $9K | $9K |
| $83,000 or above | 98% | — | $4K | $4K |
| $83,250 or above | 97% | — | $8K | $6K |
| $85,250 or above | 96% | — | $81K | $39K |
| $85,500 or above | 70% | — | $166K | $61K |
| $85,750 or above | 16% | — | $227K | $62K |
| $88,750 or above | 3% | — | $12K | $12K |
| $89,250 or above | 3% | — | $2K | $2K |
| $88,500 or above | 2% | — | $6K | $5K |
| $89,500 or above | 2% | — | $300 | $281 |
| $88,250 or above | 2% | — | $5K | $3K |
| $89,000 or above | 2% | — | $2K | $2K |
| $90,250 or above | 2% | — | $880 | $880 |
| $89,750 or above | 2% | — | $827 | $827 |
| $86,000 or above | 2% | — | $252K | $69K |
| $86,250 or above | 1% | — | $163K | $37K |
| $86,750 or above | 1% | — | $69K | $19K |
| $87,000 or above | 1% | — | $39K | $17K |
| $86,500 or above | 1% | — | $96K | $29K |
| $87,500 or above | 1% | — | $50K | $19K |
| $88,000 or above | 1% | — | $24K | $18K |
| $87,250 or above | 1% | — | $33K | $16K |
| $87,750 or above | 1% | — | $31K | $26K |
Same series
- BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?≈ $85,500 or above 52% · settles 2026-10-09