BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
50/50 line52%$85,500 or above
Line nearest 50/50
52%
Runner-up
99%
Biggest 24h move+8 pts
82%
24h volume
$198K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/no$73,500 or above
100%
+2
$79,000 or above
99%
-2
$74,000 or above
99%
$74,500 or above
99%
+2
$77,500 or above
99%
-1
$78,000 or above
99%
-1
$77,000 or above
99%
+1
$76,500 or above
99%
+3
$79,500 or above
98%
$78,500 or above
98%
$76,000 or above
98%
+2
$75,000 or above
98%
+2
$75,500 or above
98%
+2
$80,000 or above
98%
+2
+ 33 more in the table below.
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- $82,500 or aboveYES $22K · NO $0 · 3 orders · biggest $18K
- $86,500 or aboveYES $4K · NO $12K · 7 orders · biggest $3K
- $87,000 or aboveYES $11K · NO $2K · 7 orders · biggest $5K
- $84,000 or aboveYES $8K · NO $5K · 4 orders · biggest $5K
- $85,500 or aboveYES $10K · NO $3K · 7 orders · biggest $3K
- $87,500 or aboveYES $0 · NO $10K · 4 orders · biggest $5K
- $90,000 or aboveYES $0 · NO $10K · 5 orders · biggest $3K
- $89,000 or aboveYES $0 · NO $10K · 3 orders · biggest $4K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $85,500 or above | YES | 54¢ | $1K | |
| $85,500 or above | YES | 53¢ | $3K | |
| $86,500 or above | NO | 68¢ | $3K | |
| $86,500 or above | NO | 68¢ | $2K | |
| $90,000 or above | NO | 95¢ | $3K | |
| $87,000 or above | YES | 42¢ | $1K | |
| $86,500 or above | YES | 49¢ | $1K | |
| $87,000 or above | YES | 41¢ | $1K | |
| $83,500 or above | YES | 87¢ | $2K | |
| $87,500 or above | NO | 68¢ | $2K |
All outcomes
47| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $73,500 or above | 100% | +2.0 | $1 | $810 |
| $79,000 or above | 99% | -2.0 | $27 | $2K |
| $74,000 or above | 99% | — | $2 | $168 |
| $74,500 or above | 99% | +2.0 | $1 | $1 |
| $77,500 or above | 99% | -1.0 | $57 | $1K |
| $78,000 or above | 99% | -1.0 | $4 | $3K |
| $77,000 or above | 99% | +1.0 | $19 | $26 |
| $76,500 or above | 99% | +3.0 | $1 | $1 |
| $79,500 or above | 98% | — | $52 | $3K |
| $78,500 or above | 98% | — | $38 | $1K |
| $76,000 or above | 98% | +2.0 | $1 | $31 |
| $75,000 or above | 98% | +2.0 | $1 | $105 |
| $75,500 or above | 98% | +2.0 | $1 | $1 |
| $80,000 or above | 98% | +2.0 | $417 | $13K |
| $80,500 or above | 98% | +3.5 | $4K | $6K |
| $81,000 or above | 96% | +3.5 | $8K | $9K |
| $81,500 or above | 94% | +5.5 | $3K | $6K |
| $82,000 or above | 92% | +5.5 | $1K | $9K |
| $82,500 or above | 90% | +5.5 | $6K | $28K |
| $83,000 or above | 86% | +4.5 | $5K | $21K |
| $83,500 or above | 82% | +7.5 | $3K | $3K |
| $84,000 or above | 74% | +7.5 | $10K | $12K |
| $84,500 or above | 68% | +7.5 | $3K | $12K |
| $85,000 or above | 60% | +2.5 | $6K | $16K |
| $85,500 or above | 52% | -2.5 | $40K | $18K |
| $86,000 or above | 44% | -2.5 | $14K | $25K |
| $86,500 or above | 34% | -4.5 | $38K | $13K |
| $87,000 or above | 28% | -5.5 | $14K | $127K |
| $87,500 or above | 20% | -6.5 | $13K | $21K |
| $88,000 or above | 16% | -6.5 | $7K | $15K |
| $88,500 or above | 12% | -6.5 | $3K | $8K |
| $89,000 or above | 8% | -5.5 | $4K | $12K |
| $89,500 or above | 6% | -2.5 | $2K | $6K |
| $90,000 or above | 6% | -3.5 | $9K | $40K |
| $90,500 or above | 4% | -3.5 | $154 | $9K |
| $91,000 or above | 3% | — | $240 | $9K |
| $91,500 or above | 2% | -1.0 | $510 | $9K |
| $93,000 or above | 2% | — | $986 | $2K |
| $92,000 or above | 2% | — | $2K | $11K |
| $92,500 or above | 2% | -3.0 | $1K | $3K |
| $95,500 or above | 2% | -1.0 | $1 | $2K |
| $96,500 or above | 2% | -1.0 | $1 | $100 |
| $93,500 or above | 1% | -3.0 | $689 | $973 |
| $96,000 or above | 1% | — | $96 | $245 |
| $97,000 or above | 1% | — | $60 | $160 |
| $94,000 or above | 1% | -2.0 | $53 | $195 |
| $94,500 or above | 1% | -2.0 | $2 | $2K |
Same series
- BTC price on Oct 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?≈ $85,500 or above 74% · settles 2026-10-06