Bitcoin price on Oct 9, 2026?
chance of YES8%
-5.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
11–24%
24h volume
3.9K
Open interest
12.1K
Bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.0¢ | 4,549 | 13.0¢ | 101 |
| 11.0¢ | 2,553 | 14.0¢ | 2,849 |
| 10.0¢ | 2,686 | 15.0¢ | 2,437 |
| 9.0¢ | 10 | 16.0¢ | 2,843 |
| 6.0¢ | 3 | 29.0¢ | 300 |
Mid 12.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
$73,500 or above100%1
$76,000 or above99%1
$74,000 or above99%2
$74,500 or above99%1
$75,000 or above99%1
$75,500 or above99%1
$77,000 or above99%19
$76,500 or above99%1
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 90¢ | 4,973 | $4K | |
| NO | 89¢ | 2,921 | $3K | |
| NO | 86¢ | 3,027 | $3K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.