What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Hike 25bps

Closes Sep 18, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 4.4K Open interest 59.2K Event Bank of Japan rate decision in September

98%

implied YES probability

Last 47 days · High 99% · Low 23% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d +27.6pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 98.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.