What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Hike more than 25bps

Closes Sep 18, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 6.6K Open interest 89.4K Event Bank of Japan rate decision in September

2%

implied YES probability

Last 39 days · High 7% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -71.4pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 1.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.