kalshi Companies

Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Sep 1, 2026?

Before Sep 1, 2026
Closes Sep 01, 2026 (76d) 24h volume 187 Open interest 12.7K Event When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
8%
implied YES probability
-5.0pp 24h

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.