kalshi Financials

Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Dec 1, 2026?

Before Dec 1, 2026
Closes Dec 01, 2026 (75d) 24h volume 3 Open interest 16.9K Event When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
14%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 60 days · High 30% · Low 8% · 7d +33.3pp · 30d +45.5pp
30%8%

Other outcomes in this event

Before 2028
68% YES
24h vol 701
Before May 1, 2027
55% YES
24h vol 114
Before Apr 1, 2027
42% YES
24h vol 41
Before Mar 1, 2027
30% YES
24h vol 1
Before Feb 1, 2027
22% YES
24h vol 600
Before Jan 1, 2027
18% YES
24h vol 525
Before Nov 1, 2026
6% YES
24h vol 38.2K
Before Oct 1, 2026
2% YES
24h vol 11.8K

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Related stocks

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.