kalshi Financials

Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Dec 1, 2026?

Before Dec 1, 2026
Closes Dec 01, 2026 (121d) 24h volume 2 Open interest 13.8K Event When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
12%
implied YES probability
-3.0pp 24h

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.