kalshi
Financials
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028?
Before 2028
68%
implied YES probability
-1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 57 days ·
High 87% ·
Low 52%
· 7d +4.8pp
· 30d -9.6pp
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
-
SpaceX or Tesla: Which Elon Musk Stock Should Investors Buy?
Motley Fool · 12h ago
-
“SpaceX Has To Buy It. Period. End Of Story.” Cramer’s Answer For Tesla, Down 19.97% This Year.
Yahoo Finance · 15h ago
Related stocks
Trade on Kalshi
Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.