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Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Mar 1, 2027?

Before Mar 1, 2027
Closes Mar 01, 2027 (257d) 24h volume 268 Open interest 8.8K Event When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
38%
implied YES probability
+6.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 56 days · High 54% · Low 12% · 7d +34.5pp · 30d +116.7pp
54%12%

Other outcomes in this event

Before May 1, 2026
50% YES
24h vol —
Before Jun 1, 2026
50% YES
24h vol —
Before May 1, 2027
44% YES
24h vol 2.6K
Before Apr 1, 2027
40% YES
24h vol 426
Before Feb 1, 2027
31% YES
24h vol 295
Before Jan 1, 2027
24% YES
24h vol 126
Before Dec 1, 2026
20% YES
24h vol —
Before Nov 1, 2026
13% YES
24h vol 1.1K

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Related stocks

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.