What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 97%, implying a 97% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 94.5

Settles Oct 08, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Costco Foot Traffic in September

chance of YES97% -2.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

72–97%

24h volume

588

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.