Costco Foot Traffic in September
50/50 line93%Above 95.5
Line nearest 50/50
93%
Market median
95.744
Biggest 24h move-25 pts
5%
24h volume
$24K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 94
99%
+3
Above 95
97%
Above 94.5
97%
-1
Above 95.5
93%
+13
Above 96
5%
-25
Above 96.5
2%
-12
Above 99.5
2%
-3
Above 97.5
2%
+1
Above 97
2%
-2
Above 98
2%
-8
Above 100
1%
-3
What the market expects
median 95.744Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 94YES $5K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $4K
- Above 100YES $0 · NO $4K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 97YES $0 · NO $3K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 95.5YES $2K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 96YES $0 · NO $2K · 2 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 95YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 99.5YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 99.5 | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Above 100 | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Above 94 | YES | 99¢ | $4K | |
| Above 94 | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Above 96 | NO | 97¢ | $1K | |
| Above 96 | NO | 96¢ | $1K | |
| Above 95.5 | YES | 96¢ | $1K | |
| Above 95 | YES | 96¢ | $2K | |
| Above 97 | NO | 98¢ | $2K | |
| Above 95.5 | YES | 97¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
11| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 94 | 99% | +3.0 | $5K | $6K |
| Above 95 | 97% | — | $3K | $3K |
| Above 94.5 | 97% | -1.0 | $588 | $1K |
| Above 95.5 | 93% | +13.0 | $4K | $4K |
| Above 96 | 5% | -25.0 | $4K | $4K |
| Above 96.5 | 2% | -11.5 | $226 | $584 |
| Above 99.5 | 2% | -3.0 | $2K | $2K |
| Above 97.5 | 2% | +1.0 | $1 | $402 |
| Above 97 | 2% | -2.0 | $2K | $3K |
| Above 98 | 2% | -7.5 | $1K | $600 |
| Above 100 | 1% | -3.0 | $2K | $2K |